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Monday, November 26 2012

From the Non Governmental International Panel on Climate Change

Rate of Sea Level Rise: Predictions versus Measurements

Commenting on these findings, Boretti writes that the huge deceleration of SLR over the last 10 years "is clearly the opposite of what is being predicted by the models," and that "the SLR's reduction is even more pronounced during the last 5 years." To illustrate the importance of his findings, he notes that "in order for the prediction of a 100-cm increase in sea level by 2100 to be correct, the SLR must be almost 11 mm/year every year for the next 89 years," but he notes that "since the SLR is dropping, the predictions become increasingly unlikely," especially in view of the facts that (1) "not once in the past 20 years has the SLR of 11 mm/year ever been achieved," and that (2) "the average SLR of 3.1640 mm/year is only 20% of the SLR needed for the prediction of a one meter rise to be correct."

See the brief discussion here:

http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2012/aug/8aug2012a1.html

 

 

Posted by: Chris Dawson AT 07:03 pm   |  Permalink   |  0 Comments  |  Email
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